Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.022667 0.024438 0.026283 0.028349 0.030601 0.032983 0.035696
2025-12-07 0.019590 0.022110 0.024874 0.028136 0.031890 0.036085 0.041142
2025-12-14 0.017520 0.020451 0.023788 0.027885 0.032797 0.038522 0.045734
2025-12-21 0.016148 0.019370 0.023153 0.027947 0.033895 0.041073 0.050457
2025-12-28 0.014954 0.018353 0.022451 0.027788 0.034604 0.043083 0.054531
2026-01-04 0.014019 0.017558 0.021923 0.027749 0.035386 0.045149 0.058724
2026-01-11 0.013282 0.016943 0.021556 0.027849 0.036299 0.047378 0.063209
2026-01-18 0.012613 0.016362 0.021175 0.027878 0.037080 0.049430 0.067532
2026-01-25 0.012080 0.015917 0.020933 0.028054 0.038036 0.051736 0.072310
2026-02-01 0.011432 0.015277 0.020384 0.027762 0.038303 0.053065 0.075736
2026-02-08 0.010788 0.014604 0.019749 0.027300 0.038282 0.053955 0.078535
2026-02-15 0.010302 0.014121 0.019346 0.027136 0.038662 0.055420 0.082249
2026-02-22 0.009793 0.013599 0.018884 0.026893 0.038960 0.056851 0.086126
2026-03-01 0.009345 0.013144 0.018497 0.026742 0.039388 0.058505 0.090479
2026-03-08 0.008911 0.012685 0.018079 0.026513 0.039673 0.059941 0.094558
2026-03-15 0.008593 0.012379 0.017864 0.026573 0.040396 0.062087 0.099926
2026-03-22 0.008242 0.012005 0.017528 0.026423 0.040768 0.063676 0.104447
2026-03-29 0.007945 0.011698 0.017277 0.026386 0.041310 0.065558 0.109579
2026-04-05 0.007702 0.011460 0.017116 0.026481 0.042062 0.067818 0.115513
2026-04-12 0.007458 0.011210 0.016924 0.026508 0.042697 0.069905 0.121265
2026-04-19 0.007261 0.011024 0.016821 0.026674 0.043567 0.072434 0.127990
2026-04-26 0.006978 0.010688 0.016465 0.026398 0.043658 0.073598 0.132230
2026-05-03 0.006677 0.010312 0.016027 0.025962 0.043443 0.074194 0.135416